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A new terminal judgment method for family planning: indistinct comprehensive judgment]
Authors:R Wu
Abstract:The purpose of family planning (FP) program evaluation is to make comparisons between different work units and between the past and the present. The evaluation covers the impact of programs in economic, social, and demographic terms. If the impact is not quantified, it is difficult to distinguish differences in program performance. It is also hard to determine the relative standing of different organizations if each one has different merits and deficiencies. A mathematical model is used to quantify the performance of each unit in a FP program. 4 variables are used as the program indicators in the model: 1) percentage of child births following planning, 2) percentage of deferred marriages, 3) birth control prevalence, and 4) percentage of one child pledges. Indicators of social impact include 3 variables: 1) the attitude of FP workers, 2) the efforts of FP workers put in FP and 3) the results of program implementation. The indicator of economic impact is the investment for evasion of the birth of a child. Grades are assigned to indicators of social impact for each organization. The values of each variable is put in a matrix. Weights are given to each variable based on the emphasis of the program or a specific evaluation. The weights are determined through discussion with people involved in the program. A weighted average of all the above factors is the final grade of an organization's FP program performance.
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