| 中国农业经济增长的空间分布及相关性——基于31个省区1985--2008年的面板数据分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 曾国平,罗航艳,曹跃群. 中国农业经济增长的空间分布及相关性——基于31个省区1985--2008年的面板数据分析[J]. 湖南农业大学学报(社会科学版), 2010, 11(5): 1-6,37 |
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| 作者姓名： | 曾国平 罗航艳 曹跃群 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]重庆大学贸易与行政学院,重庆400044 [2]重庆大学欠发达地区经济发展研究院,重庆400044 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用空间计量的方法，对中国1985--2008年31个省区农业经济发展的空间相关性、集聚特征及其空间动态演变趋势进行了分析和研究。研究结果表明，中国省际农业经济活动存在显著的非随机性空间集聚特征，存在小幅收敛趋势；东中部地区主要为高一高类型集聚区域，西部地区主要为低一低类型集聚区域，非典型省区较少；高一高集聚类型的集聚区域的空间联系带动力增强的趋势明显。
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| 关 键 词： | 农业增长 Moran I指数 空间相关性 空间计量分析 |
Spatial distribution and correlation of agriculture economic development in China: Based on the panel data in 1985-2008 of 31 provinces, autonomous region and municipality |
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| ZENG Guo-ping,LUO Hang-yan,CAO Yue-qun. Spatial distribution and correlation of agriculture economic development in China: Based on the panel data in 1985-2008 of 31 provinces, autonomous region and municipality[J]. Journal of Hunan Agricultural University(Social Science), 2010, 11(5): 1-6,37 |
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| Authors: | ZENG Guo-ping LUO Hang-yan CAO Yue-qun |
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| Affiliation: | (a.College of Trade and Administration; b.lnstitute of Economic Development in Underdeveloped Areas, Chongqing University, Chongqing 400044, China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on the panel data of China＇s 31 regions during 1985-2008, this paper measures the spatial autocorrelation, spatial cluster characteristics and the trend of spatial dynamic evolution of agriculture economic development by using the spatial econometrics analysis. The analysis result is that there are significant features of non-random spatial cluster and convergence trend. The Eastern is mainly High-High type cluster region, the Western region is mainly Low-Low type cluster area, and less atypical provinces. There is an obviously strengthen trend in spatial driving force of High-High type cluster region. |
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| Keywords: | agricultural growth Moran I index spatial autocorrelation spatial econometrics |
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