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基于犹豫模糊语言信息的前景决策方法
引用本文:徐海军,田晓丽,徐泽水. 基于犹豫模糊语言信息的前景决策方法[J]. 中国管理科学, 2018, 26(8): 179-185. DOI: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2018.08.018
作者姓名:徐海军  田晓丽  徐泽水
作者单位:四川大学商学院, 四川 成都 610064
基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目(71771155,71571123)
摘    要:本文首先回顾了模糊信息下前景理论研究的现状,发现犹豫模糊语言这一决策中常见的信息表达形式在前景理论框架中的研究被忽略,同时犹豫模糊环境下的前景决策方法具有一定的应用背景;基于此,本文考虑到决策者在实际决策过程中惯用的信息表达以及面对收益和损失时不同的风险态度,试图在犹豫模糊语言环境下构造新的前景理论决策框架,建立基于犹豫模糊语言信息的前景决策方法,并给出具体的决策步骤;最后通过算例分析展示了该方法的实际应用过程,并与犹豫模糊语言环境下的期望效用决策结果进行对比,说明了该方法更符合实际决策情景。

关 键 词:前景理论  犹豫模糊语言信息  多属性决策  不确定性  
收稿时间:2017-07-04
修稿时间:2018-03-16

Prospect Decision-making Method Based on Hesitant Fuzzy Linguistic Information
XU Hai-jun,TIAN Xiao-li,XU Ze-shui. Prospect Decision-making Method Based on Hesitant Fuzzy Linguistic Information[J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2018, 26(8): 179-185. DOI: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2018.08.018
Authors:XU Hai-jun  TIAN Xiao-li  XU Ze-shui
Affiliation:School of business, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610064, China
Abstract:The hesitant fuzzy linguistic information is a very general way to express the evaluation information of the decision makers. Also, the prospect theory is a popular framework to portray the different risk attitudes of the decision makers for gains and losses in real decision-making. Considering both the uncertain decision-making situations and the expressions of evaluation information, a prospect decision-making method is developed based on hesitant fuzzy linguistic information. Furthermore, the detailed steps and the visual procedure of the proposed method are given. Finally, the feasibility and the effectiveness of this method are verified by the comparative analysis in case study. The data of the case is derived from the questionnaire of the experts. The comparative result shows that decision-making with prospect framework is superior to the utility framework because of the risk attitude in former one. The construction of the prospect decision-making method with hesitant fuzzy information will promote more researches to focus on the behavior decision-making with fuzzy information.
Keywords:prospect theory  hesitant fuzzy linguistic information  multi-criteria decision-making  uncertainty  
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