人口空间分布及迁移影响的实证分析——基于空间计量方法与河南省数据

在传统研究方法的基础上考虑空间相关性,运用空间计量经济学的理论与方法,并以河南省人口数据为例进行人口空间分布及迁移的实证研究。一方面,研究中运用全域空间性和局域空间性的相关知识分析河南省人口空间分布,通过定量性指标的运用得出河南省人口空间分布存在相关性,且是高值集聚,即人口密度较高的地区集中在一起;另一方面,在考虑空间相关性的基础上建立空间计量模型,主要研究各个政府支出对河南省人口迁移和分布的影响,结果发现各支出的影响显著。

The Empirical Analysis of the Spatial Distribution of Population and the Influence of Population Migration: Based on the Spatial Econometrics and the Data of Henan Province

Based on traditional research method with spatial correlation of consideration, using spatial econometric theory and method, and population data in Henan province as an example for empirical research. On the one hand, the research use population spatial and local spatial knowledge analysis Henan population spatial distribution, through the use of quantitative sex index that population spatial distribution correlation between Henan province, and is high value concentration, namely： high density area concentrated together; On the other hand, in considering spatial correlation established on the basis of spatial econometric model, the main research each government spending population migration and distribution in Henan province, and the influence of the results showed that the influence of the expenditure significantly, therefore, consider the influence of government spending on rational distribution of population is of great significance.