中等收入陷阱测度问题探析

为测度中等收入国家是否处于中等收入陷阱的困境,建立中等收入陷阱评价指标体系,运用熵值法确定指标体系中各指标的权重,对2005—2012年间中国的数据进行实证分析,并将最终评价结果与典型的拉美中等收入陷阱国家进行对比分析,得出结论:中国并不完全具备中等收入陷阱的特征,中国并未处于中等收入陷阱。同时指出中国在哪些方面濒于中等收入陷阱的边缘,应在今后发展中予以警醒。

The Measure Research on Middle-income Trap

To judge whether a middle-income country is caught in middle-income trap, we build middle-income trap index system, use entropy value method to calculate the weights, and take China for example to make empirical analysis with the data from 2005 to 2012. At last, we make comparison with some typical middle-income countries in Latin America, getting the conclusion that China hasn＇t yet completely possessed the characteristics of middle-income trap and China is not in a middle-income trap, pointing out where China is on the edge of the middle-income trap and where we should be vigilant in the future development, and providing a method to measure the middle-income trap.