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中国人口年龄结构与消费关系的区域研究
引用本文:张乐,雷良海.中国人口年龄结构与消费关系的区域研究[J].人口与经济,2011(1).
作者姓名:张乐  雷良海
作者单位:上海理工大学管理学院;
基金项目:上海市哲学社会科学基金项目(2009BJB031); 上海市教委重点学科建设项目(J50504)
摘    要:利用1989~2008年间各省市的面板数据,分析了中国各区域居民消费率与人口年龄结构之间的关系,研究表明:中国少儿抚养比与消费率呈同向变动关系;老年抚养比与消费率呈反向变动关系,拒绝了生命周期假说。少儿抚养比降低对西部地区消费的影响高于中东部地区;老龄化对东部地区消费的抑制作用高于中西部地区。

关 键 词:人口年龄结构  少儿抚养比  老年抚养比  生命周期假说  

An Analysis of the Relation of the Regional Population Age Structure and the Household Consumption in China
ZHANG Le,LEI Liang-hai.An Analysis of the Relation of the Regional Population Age Structure and the Household Consumption in China[J].Population & Economics,2011(1).
Authors:ZHANG Le  LEI Liang-hai
Institution:ZHANG Le,LEI Liang-hai(Business School,University of Shanghai for Science and Technology,Shanghai 200093,China)
Abstract:Based on the panel data of domestic provinces and cities from 1989 to 2008,this paper explored the relationship between the consumption rate and the population age structure.The results show that the consumption rate and young dependency rate changed in the same direction while the consumption rate and old dependency rate changed in the opposite direction.This conclusion refused the life cycle hypothesis.The effect induced by the decline of young dependency rate in western areas is higher than the central a...
Keywords:population age structure  young dependency rate  old dependency rate  life cycle hypothesis  
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