| 基于协整检验的中国能源需求研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 徐刚,王维国.基于协整检验的中国能源需求研究[J].大连理工大学学报(社会科学版),2010,31(2). |
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| 作者姓名： | 徐刚 王维国 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 东北财经大学,数学与数量经济学院,辽宁,大连,116025;中国科学院大连化学物理研究所,辽宁,大连,116023
2. 东北财经大学,数学与数量经济学院,辽宁,大连,116025 |
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| 基金项目： | 辽宁省教育厅创新团队项目，中国科学院知识创新工程领域前沿项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 文章运用协整理论构建了中国能源需求的长期均衡模型,发现在1978~2008年期间,能源需求与经济增长、产业结构、城镇化以及能源价格存在长期均衡关系,能源需求与经济增长存在格兰杰(Granger)双向因果关系,并在此基础上提出了我国能源发展的政策建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 能源需求 经济增长 协整 格兰杰因果 |
Research on China's Energy Demand Based on Co-integration Test |
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| XU Gang,WANG Wei-guo.Research on China's Energy Demand Based on Co-integration Test[J].Journal of Dalian University of Technology(Social Sciences),2010,31(2). |
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| Authors: | XU Gang WANG Wei-guo |
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| Institution: | 1.College of Quantitative Economics; Dongbei University of Finance & Economics; Dalian 116025; China; 2.Dalian Institute of Chemical Physics; Chinese Academy of Sciences; Dalian 116023; |
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| Abstract: | This paper develops an energy demand model in the long run by using the co-integration theory and Granger causality test.The findings indicate that there is a co-integration relationship in energy demand,economic growth,energy price,industry structure and town development from 1978~2008;furthermore,there is Granger causality between energy demand and economic growth in two directions.On the basis of the research,we provide some policy suggestions on energy development in China. |
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| Keywords: | energy demand economic growth co-integration Granger causality |
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