未来中国经济:如何跨越“中等收入陷阱”

在全球经济危机影响下,中国经济面临外部条件恶化、国内问题凸显的考验,有关中国经济高速发展可持续性的争议引人关注。学术界对于"中等收入陷阱"的研究和分析表明,无论命题真伪,确实在一部分发展中国家的经济发展过程中,出现了"中等收入陷阱"的现象和事实。经济发展不仅仅是突破"贫困陷阱"和"人口陷阱"的问题,到一定阶段还会面临"中等收入陷阱"的挑战。中国未来5~10年是一个非常关键的发展时期,关系到是否可以顺利地跨越"中等收入陷阱",进入高收入国家行列。中国必须通过制度创新,彻底转变经济发展方式,这才是未来成功跨越"中等收入陷阱"的战略选择和必由之路。

The Future of China＇s Economy： How to Across ＂Middle Income Trap＂

in the global economic crisis, deteriorate, China highlighted the problem of test, dispute concern. ＂For academic research and anal the authenticity of proposition, indeed in some China＇s economy is facing external conditions the rapid development of China economy sustainable ys d is of the Middle Income Trap＂ that, regardless of eveloping countries in the process of economic development, the Middle Income Trap phenomenon and fact. Economic development is not only a breakthrough of the ＂poverty trap＂ and ＂population trap＂ problem, to a certain stage will face the challenge of middle income trap. China in the next 5 to 10 years is a crucial period of development, related to whether can smoothly across the middle income trap, successfully entered the ranks of high income countries. China must innovate through the system, completely change the mode of economic development, it is the strategic choice and the route one must take the future success of the middleincome trap.