论公共政策设计的逻辑和模式

通过对公共政策的逻辑结构分析,在创建综合浴盆曲线图的基础上,提出政策功能分析模式、政策时间与空间分析模式,以及制定配套政策和替换政策来弥补基本政策失效阶段的政策效力,并进一步提出了全新的公共政策决策树方法,引入公众反应概率、专家评估权重和政府权重系数等因素,以促使决策制度和决策方式改革的科学化。

An Analysis on Logic and Model of Public Policy Design

From the analysis on the logic structure of public policies and on the basis of building the synthetic tub curves,the paper brings up an analytic model of the policy function,a analytic model for policy time and space,and formulating of assorted policies and substitution policies to make up the policy effectiveness at the stage of the basic policy invalidation.It furthermore presents a brand-new decision-making tree approach for public policies,and introduces factors like public response probability,expert evaluation and governmental weighting coefficients,etc.to impel the scientific reform form formulating policies and systems and choosing decision-making modes.