河北省经济周期波动的内生因素分析

经济周期波动是一种超越体制和发展阶段的普遍现象,在经济周期波动中起主要作用的因素千差万别,而且各个因素交互作用的机制及其程度也各不相同。本文主要分析了投资、消费、价格、财政、贷款和外贸等七个内生因素对河北省经济周期波动的影响。研究结果表明,消费增长率的波动对经济增长率波动的影响最大,其次是财政收入和投资。

The Inner Factors of Hebei Economic Period Fluctuation

The economic period fluctuation is a universal phenomenon of going beyond system and developing stage, but the main factors affecting economic period fluctuation are different. This paper analyzes investment, consumption, price, finance, loan, foreign trade that affect Hebei economic period fluctuation. The research result shows that the fluctuation of consumption growth is the first to affect the economic growth rate fluctuation, and the financial income and investment are the second.