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That wretched prior
Authors:Dennis Lindley
Institution:Dennis Lindley has held posts at the universities of Cambridge, Aberystwyth and London, and now lives in Minehead, Somerset. He would like to thank the Editor for constructive criticism of a first draft that was of great help in preparing the version before you.
Abstract:The foundations of statistics are of importance for all statisticians, whatever their interests, because they provide, in the method of maximisation of expected utility, a realistic, practical framework for the solution of most statistical problems. The method depends on probability and in this article Dennis Lindley discusses the need to improve our methods of assessing probabilities whenever we face uncertainty.
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