辽宁工业品出口复杂度及其影响因素分析

出口复杂度反映一国或地区出口产品的技术含量,体现其在国际贸易格局中的地位与竞争力。近年来,中国通过技术创新促进了制造业升级,工业品的出口复杂度得到了提升。采用剔除加工贸易数额后数据测算出近十年辽宁工业品出口复杂度水平,并采用灰色关联度方法计算各相关因素与辽宁工业品出口复杂度的相关程度。得出结论:信息化水平、人力资本以及经济增长对辽宁省工业品出口复杂度有明显的促进作用,外商直接投资、基础设施建设及生产性服务业的发展对辽宁省工业品出口复杂度的作用小一些。因此,提高信息化水平和增加人力资本投资,积极发展生产性服务业是提高辽宁省工业品出口复杂度的有效途径。

Analysis on export complexity of industrial goods and influencing factors in Liaoning

The export complexity reflects the technological content of export products of a country or region, and embodies the position and the competitiveness in the international trade pattern. In recent years, China has promoted the upgrading of manufacturing industry through the technological innovation, and the export complexity of industrial products has been improved. After eliminating the amount of processing trade, the export complexity level of Liaoning industrial products in the past ten years is calculated, and the correlation degree between the related factors and the export complexity of Liaoning industrial products is calculated by the gray correlation method. It is concluded that the level of information promotion, human capital and economic growth have a significant role in promoting the export complexity of industrial products in Liaoning Province, while the foreign direct investment, the infrastructure construction and the development of productive services play a smaller role in the export complexity of industrial products in Liaoning Province. Therefore, improving the level of information, increasing investment in human capital and actively developing producer services are effective ways to increase the complexity of industrial exports in Liaoning Province.