| 基于多目标规划的中国可持续发展模式优化研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈长杰,马晓微,魏一鸣,傅小锋. 基于多目标规划的中国可持续发展模式优化研究[J]. 中国管理科学, 2004, 12(5): 91-96 |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈长杰 马晓微 魏一鸣 傅小锋 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 中国科学院生物物理研究所 北京 100101;2. 中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所 北京 100080;3. 中国21世纪议程管理中心 北京 100089 |
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| 基金项目： | "十五"国家科技攻关计划重点项目(2001-BA608B-15) |
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| 摘 要： | 本文以人口(Population)、资源(Resource)、经济(Economy)、环境(Environment)和科技(Science & Technolo gy)为核心,构造了PREEST系统模型。以PREEST系统为对象,运用主成分分析法对1987-2001年度中国的可持续发展水平进行了综合评价;借助多目标规划理论,构建了中国可持续发展多目标集成模型,并以"十五"计划纲要为基准,开展了中国可持续发展规划研究的实证分析。在此基础上,通过对"十五"期间中国可持续发展传统模式和规划模式的对比分析,就中国人口、资源、经济、环境和科技等领域的协调发展提出了政策建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 可持续发展 PREEST系统 综合评价 多目标规划 发展模式 |
| 文章编号： | 1003-207(2004)05-0091-06 |
| 收稿时间： | 2003-10-21; |
| 修稿时间： | 2003-10-21 |
Optimization Research on the Development Mode of Chinese Sustainable Development Based on the Multi-Objective Programming |
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| CHEN Chang-jie,MA Xiao-wei,WEI Yi-ming,FU Xiao-feng. Optimization Research on the Development Mode of Chinese Sustainable Development Based on the Multi-Objective Programming[J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2004, 12(5): 91-96 |
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| Authors: | CHEN Chang-jie MA Xiao-wei WEI Yi-ming FU Xiao-feng |
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| Affiliation: | 1. Institute of Biophysics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China;2. Institute of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100080, China;3. The Administrative Center for China’s Agenda21, Beijing 100089, China |
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| Abstract: | The PREEST system model has been put forward based on the population,resource,economy,envi-ronment and science&;technology.Then,the integrated evaluation of the sustainable development level in China has been completed during1987～2001by dint of the principal component analysis.At the same time,a multi-objective integrated model for the sustainable development of China has been formulated according to the theory of the multi-objective programming,and a demonstration analysis about the programming research of Chinese sustainable development is introduced with the goal of Chinese10 th Five-Year Plan.Finally,some advice has been given based on the contrast analysis between the traditional development mode and the programming devel-opment mode. |
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| Keywords: | sustainable development PREEST system multi-objective programming development mode |
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