中石油在伊拉克油气发展战略研究

近年来，中国国内油田的开发已经进入中后期，石油增产后劲不足，迫使其更多地依赖海外油气资源。从地缘政治来说，中亚-俄罗斯地区是中国最安全的石油进口来源；从资源分布格局角度来说，中东地区则是中国最大的石油进口来源。中石油作为中国最大的油气生产商，担负着保障中国石油供给的重要责任，本文分析了中石油在伊拉克油气发展现状，基于SWOT分析模型，探讨了中石油在伊拉克油气发展的内部优势和劣势以及面临的外部机遇和挑战，提出了中石油在伊拉克油气发展的战略以及保障措施；认为中国应积极进入伊拉克油气上游领域，进行勘探开发，从而加快建设国际一流综合性能源公司的进程，同时保障中国的石油供给。

Research on the Oil and Gas Development Strategy of CNPC in Iraq

In recent years，the development of China’s domestic oilfields has gone into the midlate phase with a declining oil production，so China’s domestic oilfields have to rely more on oil and gas resources overseas. Seen from the perspective of geopolitics，Central AsiaRussia is the safest oil supplier for China，while the Middle East is the biggest supplier for China，considering the oil distribution in the world. As the biggest oil and gas producer in China，CNPC takes the responsibility for securing oil supply in China. This paper analyzes the current situation of the development of CNPC in Iraq. On the basis of SWOT analysis model，the author explores the internal strengths and weaknesses and external opportunities and challenges of the development of CNPC in Iraq，and puts forward development strategies and safeguard measures. We hold that CNPC should actively enter into the upstream sector in Iraq and make exploration and development so as to accelerate the construction of worldclass comprehensive energy companies to secure oil supply in China.