经济增长、人口结构与储蓄率的关系研究

本文分析了经济变量、人口结构变量与储蓄率的关系。结果表明,前一期的储蓄率对当期具有决定性影响;储蓄率与经济增长率、计划生育政策和以滞后项代表的储蓄习性存在显著正相关性,而与少儿抚养比之间存在显著负相关性;适时调整人口政策和健全社会保障制度是维持经济快速发展和转变经济增长模式的途径。

Study on the Relations among Economic Growth,Demographic Structure and Saving Rate

The relations among economic growth,demographic structure and saving rate are analyzed in the paper.The results are shown as follows: the lag saving rate has a crucial effect on saving rate,and economic growth,family plan policy and saving practice have a positive impact on the saving rate,yet the infant ratio has a negative impact on the saving rate;and timely adjusting the demographic policy and constructing the system of social guarantee Mechanism are the way to maintain the quick economic development and chang the mode of economic growth.