| 基于PREES系统模型的城市合理人口规模实证研究——以大连市为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 赵秋成.基于PREES系统模型的城市合理人口规模实证研究——以大连市为例[J].西北人口,2011(6):41-44. |
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| 作者姓名： | 赵秋成 |
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| 作者单位： | 东北财经大学公共管理学院; |
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| 基金项目： | 大连市人口发展战略研究重点课题《大连市低生育与人口和谐发展研究》(项目编号:DLRKYJ-200701)的部分研究成果 |
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| 摘 要： | 合理人口规模是城市谋求可持续发展的重要条件。本文以大连市为例,通过建立目标性指标体系和决策变量指标体系,构建了基于PREES系统的合理人口规模决策模型,并运用该模型对大连市2020年合理人口规模进行了预测分析,探讨了达到时期合理人口规模过程中可能遇到的瓶颈约束,并提出了相应的对策建议。
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| 关 键 词： | PREES系统 城市合理人口规模 多目标决策 大连市 |
An Empirical Study on Urban Rational Population Size Based on the PREES Multi-objective Model:An Case of Dalian City |
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| ZHAO Qiu-cheng.An Empirical Study on Urban Rational Population Size Based on the PREES Multi-objective Model:An Case of Dalian City[J].Northwest Population Journal,2011(6):41-44. |
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| Authors: | ZHAO Qiu-cheng |
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| Institution: | ZHAO Qiu-cheng(Public Administration School,Dongbei University of Finance and Economics,Liaoning Dalian 116025) |
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| Abstract: | The rational population size is an important condition which the city accomplish sustainable development.The paper builds a PREES multi-objective decision-making model of the Dalian Citys rational population size by establishing the systems of objective indicators and decision indicators,and estimates the Dalian Citys rational population size in the year of 2020 using the model.The paper probes the probable bottleneck problems in the process of reaching the rational population size,and puts forward some pro... |
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| Keywords: | PREES system urban rational population size multi-objective decision-making Dalian City |
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