同盟政治的安全困境——连累抛弃模型的解释力及其局限

同盟政治是国际政治学界一直在热衷探讨的一个问题。无论是为了增强抵抗威胁的能力,还是为了获取自主或安全,或是为了“搭便车”,只有当国家利益具有重合性时,同盟才有可能形成。但盟友利益的重合度随着时空的移转将不可避免地发生变化,从而造成盟友之间的冲突和博弈。斯奈德在对一些同盟实践进行考察的基础上,提出了连累抛弃模型。但是斯奈德的模型并不具有普适性,对于防御性同盟虽有相当的解释能力,而用于说明进攻性同盟时,则存有缺陷。

The Security Dilemma in Alliance Politics: The Interpreting Ablity of the Entrapment-Abandonment Model and Its Limitations

Alliance politics is always a focus of research in international politics.Either for strengthening a country's ability to confront a threat,or for obtaining autonomy,or security,or handwagoning,only when interests of actors overlap can an alliance be formed.But since the overlapping degree of the allies' common interests usually changes over time or space,disagreement and bargaining will arise between the allies.After having inquired into some alliance practices,Glenn H.Snyder puts forward the entrapment-abandonment model.Although it can interpret defensive alliances well,it is not a universal theory because it has problem in interpreting offensive ones.