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Identifiability and estimation of recursive max‐linear models
Authors:Nadine Gissibl  Claudia Klüppelberg  Steffen Lauritzen
Abstract:We address the identifiability and estimation of recursive max‐linear structural equation models represented by an edge‐weighted directed acyclic graph (DAG). Such models are generally unidentifiable and we identify the whole class of DAG s and edge weights corresponding to a given observational distribution. For estimation, standard likelihood theory cannot be applied because the corresponding families of distributions are not dominated. Given the underlying DAG, we present an estimator for the class of edge weights and show that it can be considered a generalized maximum likelihood estimator. In addition, we develop a simple method for identifying the structure of the DAG. With probability tending to one at an exponential rate with the number of observations, this method correctly identifies the class of DAGs and, similarly, exactly identifies the possible edge weights.
Keywords:Bayesian network  causal inference  extreme value theory  generalized maximum likelihood estimation  graphical model  structural equation model
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