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基于周期性指数平滑法的大型公建能耗预测模型研究
引用本文:刘晓婷,李智令.基于周期性指数平滑法的大型公建能耗预测模型研究[J].鲁东大学学报,2013(3):275-277.
作者姓名:刘晓婷  李智令
作者单位:[1]海军航空工程学院计算机学院,山东烟台264001 [2]鲁东大学社会科学处,山东烟台264039 [3]鲁东大学科学技术处,山东烟台264039
摘    要:根据大型公建月耗能具有的强周期特性,采用周期性指数平滑法对大型公共建筑月耗能进行了预测建模,并编程确定了最优平滑系数,数值结果表明该预测模型有较高的精度和较强的实用性.

关 键 词:大型公建  能耗预测  周期性指数平滑法

Research on Forecasting Model of Large-Scale Public Building Energy Consumption Based on Period Index Smoothing Method
LIU Xiao-tingl',a,LI Zhi-ling.Research on Forecasting Model of Large-Scale Public Building Energy Consumption Based on Period Index Smoothing Method[J].Ludong University Journal (Natural Science Edition),2013(3):275-277.
Authors:LIU Xiao-tingl'  a  LI Zhi-ling
Institution:zb ( 1. Computer School, Naval Aeronautical Engineering Institute, Yantai 264001, China; 2. Ludong University, a. Department of Social Science, b. Department of Science and Technology, Yantai 264039, China)
Abstract:Based on the strong period characteristics of large-scale public consumption, a model is proposed to forecast the month energy consumption by method. The optimum smoothing coefficients are obtained through programming. that the forecasting model is practical and has high precision building monthly energy using period index smooth The numerical results show
Keywords:large-scale public building  energy consumption forecast  period index smooth method
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