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Predicting enterprise choice: Exit from dairying in New Zealand
Institution:1. Animal Reproduction Laboratory, Texas A&M AgriLife Research, Beeville, 78102, USA;2. Department of Animal Science, Texas A&M University, College Station, 77843, USA;3. Department of Animal Science and Veterinary Technology, Texas A&M University-Kingsville, Kingsville, 78363, USA;1. Department of Biology, Indiana University of Pennsylvania, 1011 South Drive, Indiana, PA 15701, United States;2. Department of Entomology, Center for Pollinator Research, Huck Institutes of the Life Sciences, Pennsylvania State University, Millennium Science Complex, University Park, PA 16802, United States;1. Department of Pediatrics and Immunology, Indiana University of Medicine, Indianapolis, Indiana;2. Experimental Transplantation and Immunology Branch, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland;3. Blood and Marrow Transplantation, Moffitt Cancer Center, Tampa, Florida;4. Department of Oncology, Sidney Kimmel Comprehensive Cancer Center, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland;5. Office of In Vitro Diagnostics and Radiological Health, Center for Devices and Radiological Health, Food and Drug Administration, Silver Spring, Maryland;6. Division of Allergy, Immunology and Transplantation, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland;7. Clinical Research Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, and the Division of Medical Oncology, University of Washington School of Medicine, Seattle, Washington;8. Department of Medicine, Division of Hematology-Oncology, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee;9. Stanford Bone Marrow Transplant-Cellular Therapy Facility, Stanford University, Stanford, California;10. Department of Pediatrics, Children''s Hospital of Los Angeles, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California;11. Division of Biostatistics, Center for Biologics, Food and Drug Administration, Silver Spring, Maryland;12. Office of Translational Sciences, Center for Drug Evaluation and Research, Food and Drug Administration, Silver Spring, Maryland;13. Michael Cuccione Childhood Cancer Research Program, BC Children''s Hospital and University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
Abstract:Change in enterprise from dairying to beef farming has been common in Northland, New Zealand during the 1970s and early 1980s. Data from intensive farm interviews on two random samples of farms (one group which ceased to practice dairying between 1975 and 1983 and a second which continued during this period) are used to distinguish the two groups of properties. Significant differences in size, land cover, production, capital value and age of farmers are identified. A stepwise logistical regression model with age of farmer and milkfat production in 1975 as the independent variables predicts the enterprise choice of 75% of the farm families for 1983. These two independent variables are summarising broader characteristics of the properties because age is shown to be colinear with equity, value of property and inputs and milkfat production with other measures of productivity. The necessity of including such structural variables in any behavioural analysis of enterprise choice is emphasised.
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