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Pearson-Tukey Three-Point Approximations Versus Monte Carlo Simulation
Authors:Phillip E Pfeifer  Samuel E Bodily  Sherwood C Frey
Abstract:Accuracy of the Pearson-Tukey three-point approximation is measured in units of standard deviation and compared with that of Monte Carlo simulation. Using a variety of well-known distributions, comparisons are made for the mean of a random variable and for common functions of one and two random variables. Comparisons are also made for the mean of an assortment of risk-analysis (Monte Carlo) models drawn from the literature. The results suggest that the Pearson-Tukey approximation is a useful alternative to simulation in risk-analysis situations.
Keywords:Decision Analysis  Risk Analysis and Simulation  
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