How Best to Flip-Flop if You Must: Integer Dynamic Stochastic Programming for Either-Or |
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Authors: | Samuelson Paul A. |
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Affiliation: | 1. Department of Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, 02139-4307
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Abstract: | Standard portfolio analysis presumes one can blend different securities continuously. When one must choose all of one portfolio or all of another, we are in stochastic digital programming: either-or, zero-or-one choice. The algorithm for doing this optimally is shown to be simpler than in real variable maximizing, a switch from the usual extra complexities of digital programming. The Bellman multi-period dynamic programming is shown, paradoxically, to make it possible for a risk-averse investor to want sometimes to embrace an unfair gamble. The superiority of within-time diversification over across-time diversification carries over to this flip-flop case. |
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