网络融合趋势下中国电信业市场需求与集中

中国在市场化改革进程中,伴随着经济发展、社会进步和国民收入增加,电信需求表现出较快增长趋势,电信市场集中度与市场规模之间有着较为显著的相关关系.由于需求和技术条件决定产业组织内的市场结构和企业行为,因而基于市场集中度的电信业规制应考虑电信市场需求的可能变化.同时,由于网络融合可促进电信技术的发展和电信全业务运营的发展和融合,因此,在网络融合的大趋势下,可放松分业务规制,并利用网络融合对电信产业的影响,完善竞争和规制政策,并通过多业务宽松寡头市场结构的构建和非对称规制,在维持基础电信运营商规模经济和电信业适度集中的同时,实施非对称规制,促进电信市场的可竞争性.

The Correlativity between Market Demand and Concentrate Rate of Telecom Industry in China

The concentrate rate of telecom industry is strongly correlated with the scale of the market, and the regulation on the concentrate rate should consider the potential change of market demand. In order to deal with the decrease of ARPU value and shock of the world financial crisis, the industry policy of Chinese telecom should encourage multi businesses development and build effectively competitive market structure through the police choice of asymmetric regulation.