| 人民币实际汇率波动与中国对美出口 |
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| 引用本文： | 黄万阳.人民币实际汇率波动与中国对美出口[J].大连海事大学学报(社会科学版),2008,7(5):32-35. |
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| 作者姓名： | 黄万阳 |
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| 作者单位： | 东北财经大学,数学与数量经济学院,辽宁,大连,116025 |
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| 摘 要： | 运用协整方法对人民币实际汇率波动与中国对美出口的关系进行实证研究。结果表明：中国对美出口收入效应极强，中国对美出口汇率波动效应较弱，中国对美出口的价格效应不存在。在美国经济可能陷入衰退的情况下，中国政府应暂缓人民币升值和人民币汇率形成机制改革的步伐。
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| 关 键 词： | 人民币 汇率波动 中国/美国 出口 协整 |
Variability of RMB's real exchange rate and China's export to US |
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| HUANG Wan-yang.Variability of RMB''s real exchange rate and China''s export to US[J].Journal of Dalian Maritime University:Social Science Edition,2008,7(5):32-35. |
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| Authors: | HUANG Wan-yang |
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| Institution: | HUANG Wan-yang (College of Mathematics and Quantitative Economics, Dongbei Univ. of Finance and Economics, Dalian 116025, China) |
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| Abstract: | By co-integration method,the paper researched the relationship between real RMB/US exchange rate variability and China's export to US.Empirical study shows:the income effect on China's export to US is very strong,the effect of real RMB/US exchange rate variability on China's export to US is weaker,the price effect on China's export to US is not significant.Facing the possibility of recede of American economy,Chinese government should slow RMB's appreciation and the reform of RMB's exchange rate system. |
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| Keywords: | RMB variability of exchange rate China/US export co-integration |
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