Forecasting of some; transformed series |
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Authors: | D. K. Massiuma N. Ordoukhani |
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Affiliation: | 1. Department of Statistics , University of Manitoba , Winnipeg, Manitoba, R3T 2N2;2. Department of Mathematics , East Carolina University , Greenville, Nc, 27858 |
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Abstract: | The delta method is proposed as a. retransformation approach for coramputing forecasts for a nonstationary process (Z$inf:t$einf t, = 1, 2, ...), A derived variance stabilizing transformation technique is also used to compute forecasts, The performance of the two methods is compared to other techniques. Numerical results show that forecasts based on the variance stabilizing transformation method (VSTM) can lead to forecasts with a lower mean square error (MSE) as compared to other transformation techniqnes. |
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Keywords: | nonstationary series variance stabilizing transformation delta method power transformations hermite polynomials backtransformation |
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