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Equal probability of correct selection for bernoulli selection procedures
Authors:Christopher Jennison
Affiliation:Department of Mathematical Sciences , University of Durham , DH1 3LE, Durham, ENGLAND
Abstract:The problem of selecting the Bernoulli population which has the highest "success" probability is considered. It has been noted in several articles that the probability of a correct selection is the same, uniformly in the Bernoulli p-vector (P1,P2,….,Pk), for two or more different selection procedures. We give a general theorem which explains this phenomenon.

An application of particular interest arises when "strong" curtailment of a single-stage procedure (as introduced by Bechhofer and Kulkarni (1982a) )is employed; the corresponding result for "weak" curtailment of a single-stage procedure needs no proof. The use of strong curtailment in place of weak curtailment requires no more (and usually many less) observations to achieve the same.
Keywords:Bermoullie selection problem  sequential selection procedures  probability of correct selection  weak curtailment  strong curtailment
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