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Approximating probabilities of first passage in a particular gaussian process
Authors:Joseph Glaz  Joseph Naus
Affiliation:1. Department of Statistics , University of Connecticut , Storrs, CT, 06268;2. Department of Statistics , Rutgers-The State University of New Jersey , New Brunswick, NJ, 08903
Abstract:Shepp (1971) derives the distribution of waiting times of first passage for a particular Gaussian process. However, Shepp notes that for moderate to large waiting tines the expressions for the probability cannot be evaluated either numerically or by asymptotic estimation. Me present a useful approximation for the distribution and expected waiting time for the conditional and unconditional versions of this first passage problem. The probabilities play a role in bounds by Adler (1984) for the probability distribution of the supremum of a particular two-parameter Gaussian field, a detection problem (Lai, 197 3) and the study of signal shape problems in radars (Zakai Ziv, 1969).
Keywords:First Passage  Gaussian Process  waiting time  supremum
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