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Estimation in multi-path change-point problems
Authors:Lawrence Joseph  David B Wolfson
Institution:1. Division of Clinical Epidemiology , Montreal General Hospital , 1650 Cedar Avenue, Montreal, Quebec, H3G 1A4, Canada;2. Department of Mathematics and Statistics , McGill University , 805 Sherbrooke Street West, Montreal, Quebec, H3A 2K6, Canada
Abstract:The current literature deals with the change-point problem only in the context of the obser¬vation of a single sequence. In this paper, inference will be based on the observation of TV sequences of random variables, each sequence containing one change-point. This extension allows the effective use of bootstrap and empirical Bayes methods, both of which are not feasible in the single-path context. Two classes of these “multi-path” change-point problems are considered. If the change-point is assumed to occur at the the same position in each sequence, then the terminology “fixed-tau multi-path change-point” will be used. In other cases, one may expect the change-point to occur at random positions in each sequence, according to some distribution, a “random-tau multi-path change-point” problem. Examples and simulations are given.
Keywords:change-point  bootstrap  bayes  empirical bayes
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