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Detecting change points and monitoring biomedical data
Authors:Heping Zhang
Affiliation:Yale University School of Medicine , New Haven, Connecticut, 06520
Abstract:Bayesian and likelihood approaches to on-line detecting change points in time series are discussed and applied to analyze biomedical data. Using a linear dynamic model, the Bayesian analysis outputs the conditional posterior probability of a change at time t ? 1, given the data up to time t and the status of changes occurred before time t ? 1. The likelihood method is based on a change-point regression model and tests whether there is no change-point.
Keywords:change point regression  likelihood ratio  linear dynamic model  posterior probability  renal transplant
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