首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
     


The multidimensional markov chain with prespecified asymptotic means,and (auto-)covariances
Authors:C.G.E. Boender  H.E. Romeijn
Affiliation:1. ORTEC Consultants , Erasmus University Rotterdam , PV , The NetherlandGroningenweg 6;2. Erasmus University Rotterdam , 1738, Rotterdam , 3000DR , Netherlands
Abstract:In this paper a method is presented to construct random time series which, starting from their present values, converge to stationary time series with a priori specified mean values, standard deviations, correlations and autocorrelations. The method is applied to simulate time series of price-inflation, wage-inflation, and interest rates, whose mean values, standard deviations, correlations and autocorrelations converge to the values which are estimated from historical data This application is a circular part of a Decision Support System which assists management of pension funds in analysing new methods of calculating pension premiums.
Keywords:Markov chains  simulation  time series  pension funds
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号