Estimating the discovery rate in a continuous time recapture model |
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Authors: | Rajan Gupta Larry Lee |
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Affiliation: | 1. Department of Clinical Research , Pfizer Central Research , Groton, CT;2. Department of Mathematics and Statistics , Old Dominion University , Norfolk, VA, 23529-0077 |
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Abstract: | We consider a family of marked Poisson process models for the discovery of distinct errors in a computer program and also for sampling, in continu-ous time, a population containing an unknown number of distinct biological species. Captures (selections or discoveries) are assumed to occur at a con-stant rate, each event consisting of the discovery of a distinct process (error or species) or the recurrence of a previously discovered process. Using a generalization of Nayak’s (1988) model we derive confidence limits for the discovery rate. The limits are based on the asymptotic distribution of a scaled logarithmic function of the maximum likelihood estimator. |
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Keywords: | marked Poisson process confidence limits asymptotic distribution |
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