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A Bayesian approach to the statistical analysis of device preference studies
Authors:Fu Haoda  Qu Yongming  Zhu Baojin  Huster William
Institution:Eli Lilly and Company, Indianapolis, IN 46285, USA. FU_HAODA@LILLY.COM
Abstract:Drug delivery devices are required to have excellent technical specifications to deliver drugs accurately, and in addition, the devices should provide a satisfactory experience to patients because this can have a direct effect on drug compliance. To compare patients' experience with two devices, cross-over studies with patient-reported outcomes (PRO) as response variables are often used. Because of the strength of cross-over designs, each subject can directly compare the two devices by using the PRO variables, and variables indicating preference (preferring A, preferring B, or no preference) can be easily derived. Traditionally, methods based on frequentist statistics can be used to analyze such preference data, but there are some limitations for the frequentist methods. Recently, Bayesian methods are considered an acceptable method by the US Food and Drug Administration to design and analyze device studies. In this paper, we propose a Bayesian statistical method to analyze the data from preference trials. We demonstrate that the new Bayesian estimator enjoys some optimal properties versus the frequentist estimator.
Keywords:Bayesian method  device preference study  multinomial distribution  mean squared error  shrinkage estimator
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