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Age cohort voting effects in the breakdown of single-party rule
Institution:1. Norwegian Centre for Addiction Research (SERAF), University of Oslo, Box 1039 Blindern, 0315 Oslo, Norway;2. Division of Mental Health and Addiction, Oslo University Hospital, Box 4950 Nydalen, 0424 Oslo, Norway;3. Norwegian National Advisory Unit on Concurrent Substance Abuse and Mental Health Disorders, Box 104, 2381 Brumunddal, Norway;4. Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Norway;5. The Correctional Service of Norway, Staff Academy, Oslo, Norway, Box 694, 4305 Sandnes, Norway;1. Department of Psychology and Neuroscience, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada;2. Department of Psychiatry, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada;1. School of Social Work, University of Maryland, Baltimore, United States;2. Department and Graduate Institute of Social Welfare, National Chung Cheng University, Taiwan
Abstract:This article examines age cohort voting differentiation in the breakdown of the Leninist regimes in terms of the effects of rapid social change. The strong relationship found between age and conservative voting and the disproportionate vote of youth for all types of change-oriented parties in the “first” competitive elections (1989/1990) in Belarus, Bulgaria, Romania, Poland, Hungary, Czechoslovakia, East Germany, and Moscow is a product of cohort–period interaction with youth at the vanguard of social change. Taken together, a dramatic period effect (the rapid introduction of economic and political change), the skewing of younger groups in favor of more rapid social change, the generational socialization of the aged under communist values, and a greater investment of the elderly in the status quo explain age cohort voting in the breakdown of Leninism.
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