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Determinants of Unemployment Duration for Displaced Workers
Authors:Carlo Dell'Aringa  Manuela Samek Lodovici
Abstract:ABSTRACT: In this paper we use survival analysis to estimate a reduced form model of the determinants of unemployment and unemployment registration durations. The variables considered in the analysis include personal characteristics, local demand conditions, unemployment income, and the time spent unemployed. The data set was collected both through personal interviews and Employment Service files and includes information on the individual history of a sample of displaced workers who were laid off during 1983 because of plant closings and job cuts in some industrial districts of the metropolitan area of Milan. The parametric models included in the analysis are based on the Weibull, Log-logistic and Log-normal distributions. The results do not show the existence of negative time dependence.
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