中国人口转变的经济学分析

从经济上判定中国人口在本质上、内容上是否发生转变,就要深入分析中国居民中的绝大多数在生育意愿上是否发生了转变。而判定中国居民中绝大多数在生育意愿上发生转变与否。就须分析不同类型的居民的生育成本与生育收益的比较状况。当中国居民中绝大多数认为自己的生育成本≥生育收益时。中国人口就在本质上、内容上发生了转变,或者处于转变之中。因此。中国居民生育成本与生育收益的比较状况,应成为中国人口在本质上、内容上是否转变的简明判别式。

Analysis of the Change of Chinese Population Economically

To judge economically whether China's population has changed in quality and quantity or not,we should analyze if most the Chinese have changed their procreation concept, which in turn is based on the analysis of the comparison between procreation cost and benefits for different types of Chinese citizens. When most Chinese believe that their procreation costS^procreation benefits, there must be some change in quality and in quantity for China's population. Otherwise.it is in the process of change. Therefore, the comparison between procreation cost and benefits of the Chinese people has become the simple discriminant of the change in quality and quantity for China's population.