| 东中西部地区商品流通业对经济增长影响差异的分位数回归分析——基于中国地级市市辖区的数据 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘天祥. 东中西部地区商品流通业对经济增长影响差异的分位数回归分析——基于中国地级市市辖区的数据[J]. 北京工商大学学报(社会科学版), 2012, 27(2): 31-37 |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘天祥 |
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| 作者单位： | 湖南商学院经济与贸易学院,湖南长沙410205;湖南经济改革与发展研究中心,湖南长沙410204 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用分位数回归分析法,对2009年中国256个城市的商品流通业和经济增长之间的关系进行分析,研究结果表明:对于各个分位数,东中部、东西部地区GDP差异和制度性差异都大于0;在大部分分位数下,制度性差异是地区GDP差异的主要原因,特征差异为次要原因。另外又从产业结构、交通状况和观念等角度进行了分析。最后基于实证结果有针对性地提出了政策建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 商品流通业 经济增长 分位数回归 反事实研究法 制度性差异 |
Quantile Regression Analysis of Difference in the Effects of Commodity Circulation Industry upon Economic Growth in China's East, Middle and West Regions Based on the Data of Municipal Districts in China's Prefectural Cities |
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| Liu Tian-xiang. Quantile Regression Analysis of Difference in the Effects of Commodity Circulation Industry upon Economic Growth in China's East, Middle and West Regions Based on the Data of Municipal Districts in China's Prefectural Cities[J]. Journal of Beijing Technology and Business University:Social Science, 2012, 27(2): 31-37 |
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| Authors: | Liu Tian-xiang |
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| Affiliation: | Liu Tian-xiang1,2(1.Economic and Trade School,Hunan Business University,Changsha,Hunan 410205,China; 2.The Research Center of Hunan Economic Reform and Development,Changsha,Hunan 410204,China) |
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| Abstract: | Using the Quantile Regression analytical method,this paper analyzes the relationship between commodity circulation industry and economic growth based on 256 cities in China in 2009.The research findings show that in China’s East,Middle and West Regions the GDP gap and institutional difference are above zero under all quantiles,institutional difference is the major factor of regional GDP gap and feature difference is the secondary factor under most quantiles.Further,analysis is made from the perspectives of industrial structure,traffic condition,concept,etc.Finally,some policy suggestions are put forward accordingly based on empirical results. |
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| Keywords: | commodity circulation industry economic growth Quantile Regression counter-factual analysis institutional difference |
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