流动人口群体特征变动与失业风险差异

本文采用2014年和2017年流动人口动态监测数据,探讨了中国省际流动人口失业风险的变动趋势以及影响因素.研究发现:2017年省际流动人口失业风险比2014年高出26％.性别、受教育程度、流动原因、流入地地域等变量对流动人口失业风险的边际影响出现了明显上升趋势.Oaxaca分解结果表明,流动人口失业风险上升的63.67...

A Study of the Change of Floating Population's Characteristics and the Differences in Their Unemployment Risk

Based on the dynamic monitoring data of floating population in 2014 and 2017,this paper discusses the changing trend and influencing factors of the unemployment risk of inter-provincial floating population in China.The study finds that the risk of unemployment among the inter-provincial migrants is 26 percent higher in 2017 than that in 2014.The marginal effects of gender,education level,reasons for migration and inflow region on the unemployment risk of the floating population show an obvious upward trend.The Oaxaca decomposition show that 63.67% of the unemployment risk increase of floating population can be explained by coefficient difference and 36.33% by characteristic difference.The changes of education,household registration,unemployment insurance,floating reasons and inter-personal relations are helpful to reduce the unemployment risk,while the changes of cultivated land,homestead,floating mode and temporary residence permit increase the unemployment risk of floating population.