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2000年以来中国城乡生育水平的比较分析
引用本文:郝娟,邱长溶.2000年以来中国城乡生育水平的比较分析[J].南方人口,2011,26(5):27-33.
作者姓名:郝娟  邱长溶
作者单位:1. 西安交通大学经济与金融学院,陕西西安710061;陕西师范大学政治经济学院,陕西西安710062
2. 西安交通大学经济与金融学院,陕西西安,710061
摘    要:我国城乡生育水平、发展趋势及差异程度的对比研究对于人口发展问题意义重大。首先通过运算,得出了城乡总和生育率指标数值,呈现出2000年以来十年间城乡生育状况,然后对这些数据进行了细致的比较与分析。研究结果表明:尽管十年中生育水平呈现波动状态,但农村总和生育率一直都低于1.8,城镇则低于1.3,差异近几年有逐步缩小的趋势;城乡生育水平差异主要来自二孩生育率的差异,二孩生育率近十年来有微弱上升趋势;一孩生育率受民俗等因素影响较大,城镇波动大于农村;平均生育年龄推迟现象在城镇、农村一直都在缓慢持续。

关 键 词:生育水平  发展趋势  总和生育率  年龄别生育率

A Comparative Analysis of the Fertility of the Urban and Rural in China Since 2000
HAO Juan,QIU Changrong.A Comparative Analysis of the Fertility of the Urban and Rural in China Since 2000[J].South China Population,2011,26(5):27-33.
Authors:HAO Juan  QIU Changrong
Institution:HAO Juan1,2,QIU Changrong1 1.School of Economics and Finance,Xi'an Jiaotong University,Xi'an 710061,Shanxi,2.School of Politics and Economics,Shanxi Normal University,Xi'an 710062
Abstract:The difference in the fertility of the rural and the urban and future changing trend are very important questions to understand China's population problem.This paper calculates the fertility of the urban and the rural since 2000 based on the statistical data and compares the fertility rate in the urban and the rural population since 2000.The finding shows that the TFR in the rural is less than 1.8 while the TFR in the urban is less than 1.3 and the difference is narrowing year by year.The fertility differen...
Keywords:Fertility  Trend  TFR  Age-specific Fertility Rates  
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