中国—东盟自由贸易区贸易效应分析

区域经济一体化效应的静态效应主要表现在贸易创造和转移效应,中国一东盟自由贸易区的启动是否能使成员国实现多赢、共同享受到资源优化配置所带来的收益,这要取决于产生怎样的贸易效应.成员国国间贸易壁垒的现状和减让进程、贸易关系的特征、生产成本和贸易结构与第三方市场差异都是影响贸易效应发挥的主要因素,各个要素对贸易效应将产生不同影响.虽然贸易的波动会带来成员国利益的增加或损失,但整体来看,贸易创造居于主导.

Analysis of trade creation effect in China-Asean free trade area

The static effect of regional economic integration is mainly manifested in trade creation and diversion effect. Whether the setup of China-Asean free trade area can ensure multiply successes and facilitate the sharing of the benefits brought about by optimized resource configuration on the part of its member countries is determined by what trade effects are produced. The current status of trade barriers between the member countries, the tariff elimination process, the trade relationship features, the production cost, the trade structure and the third market difference are the principal factors influencing the trade effect in different ways. Despite the gain or loss in benefits induced by trade fluctuations, the trade creation occupies a leading position on whole.