| 我国国际收支变动对M2影响的实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 李敬,潘久政,陈胜均.我国国际收支变动对M2影响的实证分析[J].西南农业大学学报(社会科学版),2004,2(1):44-46. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李敬 潘久政 陈胜均 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 西南农业大学,经济管理学院,重庆,400716
2. 重庆三峡职业学院,经济系,重庆,404001 |
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| 摘 要： | 在我国现有外汇管理制度下,国际收支变动通过对货币乘数和基础货币的影响从而对货币供应量M2产生较大的冲击,进而使货币政策的有效性受到影响.论文用Granger因果检验、VAR模型、误差修正模型就这一影响进行了实证分析.
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| 关 键 词： | 国际收支 货币供应量 实证 |
| 文章编号： | 1672-5379(2004)01-0044-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2003年10月14 |
POSITIVIST STUDY ON THE EFFECTS OF BALANCE OF PAYMENT ON M2 IN CHINA |
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| LI Jing ,PAN Jiu-zheng ,CHEN Sheng-jun.POSITIVIST STUDY ON THE EFFECTS OF BALANCE OF PAYMENT ON M2 IN CHINA[J].Journal of Southwest Agricultural University:Social Science Edition,2004,2(1):44-46. |
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| Authors: | LI Jing PAN Jiu-zheng CHEN Sheng-jun |
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| Institution: | LI Jing 1,PAN Jiu-zheng 2,CHEN Sheng-jun 1 |
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| Abstract: | With the strict control over foreign exchange practiced in China, balance of payment has a great effect on money supply through its influence on money-supply multiplier and monetary base, thus influencing the effectiveness of monetary policy. This paper analyzes that effect quantitatively with Granger Causality Test, VAR model and Error Correction Model. |
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| Keywords: | balance of payment money supply positivist |
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