四川省长江集装箱运输预测及展望

为加快发展四川省集装箱运输，本文分析和选择了四川省长江集装箱运输量预测方法，并应用增长率法对四川地区GDP进行预测。在此基础上，集合GM（1，1）模型和Verhulst模型的最优组合模型，对四川省集装箱运输量进行具体预测分析，并展望四川省集装箱运输的未来发展。

Forecast of Sichuan Province Yangtze River Container Transportation and Prospects

In order to accelerate the development of container transportation in Sichuan Province,the Sichuan Yangtse River con-tainer transportation forecasting method is analyzed and chosen. The growth rate method is applied to forecast the GDP in Sichuan area. On this basis,the optimal combination model of GM(1,1)model and Verhulst model are set up. The container transpor-tation volume of Sichuan province is analyzed. The future development of container transportation in Sichuan is predicted.