Assassination of political leaders: The role of social conflict |
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| Authors: | Andra Serban Francis J Yammarino Kristin Lee Sotak Juliet Banoeng-Yakubo Alexander BR Mushore Chanyu Hao Kristie A McHugh Michael D Mumford |
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| Institution: | 1. Virginia Commonwealth University, USA;2. State University of New York at Binghamton, USA;3. State University of New York at Oswego, USA;4. University of Warwick, UK;5. Bristol Old Vic Theatre School Ltd., UK;6. Center for Leadership Studies, State University of New York at Binghamton, USA;7. Ohio Northern University, USA;8. University of Oklahoma, USA |
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| Abstract: | Given human aggression and warfare are often described as the most pressing behavioral problems of our time, we focus on a related phenomenon, with large-scale social, political, and economic consequences: assassination of political leaders. We explore the role of social conflict as a predictor of political assassination and use historiometric methods and an extensive archival dataset to identify and code for contextual factors associated with social conflict and political homicide. Our results indicate an increase in social conflict increases the likelihood of assassination; moreover, environmental constraints and traditional culture predict leader assassination through social conflict. We discuss implications of these findings and suggest future research on contextual factors, assassination of political leaders, and their collective-level impact. |
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| Keywords: | Political leader assassination Contextual factors Frustration-aggression (hypothesis) Historiometric methods Archival data |
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