我国零售市场发展与国民经济增长关系的数量分析

本文采用计量经济学的协整理论对我国改革开放以来社会消费品零售总额(CON)和国内生产总值(GOP)之间的关系进行了实证研究。旨在通过对有关经济数据的分析建立二者之间长期的协整关系方程和短期变动方程。并进一步论证,零售市场的发展对我国宏观经济持续高速发展有着不可忽视的作用。

Quantity Analysis on Relationship between China''''s Retail Market Development and National Economy Growth

Based on the cointegration theory of econometrics, this paper makes an empirical research on the relationship between CONS and GDP since China's reform and opening-up. It aims to establish a long-term cointegration equation and short-term alteration equation between the two through an analysis of relevant economic data. It further demonstrates that the development of retail market has an effect that cannot be ignored on China's continuous and rapid growth of macro-economy.