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The analytic foundation of international economic modeling at the OECD
Authors:G.E.J. Llewellyn  L.W. Samuelson
Affiliation:Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development, Paris Cedex, France
Abstract:This article describes the OECD Secretariat's international linkage model, INTERLINK, built to assist various tasks, including the production of baseline international projections, the establishment and maintenance of international consistency of these projections, and the production of alternative projections and policy scenarios. It is thus concerned with the theory of the method of international forecasting and policy analysis, rather than the theory of forecasting itself. The article is divided into sections, which discuss the reasons for international economic modeling at OECD, the main tasks performed by the model, the technical requirements that it needs to satisfy, its present structure, and the experience with it.
Keywords:Address correspondence to: G.E.J. Llewellyn   Economics and Statistic Department   OECD   2 Rue Andre Pascal   Paris Cedex 16   France.
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