基于国际比较的我国低成本航空发展前景预测

文章分析了国际低成本航空发展的总体概况,并从我国经济增长速度迅速、航空运输市场潜力大、基础设施不断改善、政策环境趋于完善、人力成本优势、旅游市场的开发六个角度指出我国发展低成本航空的潜在机遇;最后,采用定量方法对我国低成本航空运输未来发展做了基于国际比较的区间预测。

The Development Prospect Forecast of Chinese Low Cost Airlines Based on the International Comparison

Firstly,this paper analyzed the general development situation of international low cost airlines.Secondly,it pointed out the latent opportunities of developing low cost airlines in our country from six angles: the fast speed of our economic development,the great potential of the airline transportation market,the continual improvement of the infrastructure,the gradual consummation of the policy environment,the advantage in human resource cost,and the development of tourism market.Finally,this paper made a range forecast on development trend and scale of low cost airlines in our country through quantificational method.