城市物流业对经济增长的影响及其作用机制——以广州为例

现代物流业是城市经济发展的新动力，作为我国大都市之一的广州，其物流业的发展究竟对城市经济增长产生了怎样的影响？本文首先采用逻辑曲线模型从定量的角度进行分析，结果显示物流业对广州GDP的贡献较大，2009年物流业每增长一个百分点能带动经济增长4．26个百分点。在此基础上，文章从定性的角度进一步探讨了物流业拉动广州经济增长的作用机制。

The Economic Impact of Logistics Industry and Its Mechanisms:A Case Study of Guangzhou

Modern logistics industry is a new driving force for urban economic development. Guangzhou is one of the biggest cities in China, how does its logistics industry affect the urban economic growth？ Applying the logistic growth parabola model, this paper analyses the economic impact from a quantitative point of view. According to the calculation results, the logistics industry has contributed a lot to the GDP of Guangzhou. And in 2009, every one percent increase in the logistics industry spurred 4.26 percent of the city＇ s economic growth. Based on the above analysis, this paper explores the propelling effect of logistics industry from the qualitative point of view.