| 两岸贸易与台湾经济增长关系的协整分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 蔡洪杰. 两岸贸易与台湾经济增长关系的协整分析[J]. 西北农林科技大学学报(社会科学版), 2010, 10(3): 46-50 |
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| 作者姓名： | 蔡洪杰 |
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| 作者单位： | 福州大学,阳光学院,福州,350015 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据1988-2008年的经济数据,利用协整和Granger因果检验方法,对两岸贸易与台湾经济增长的关系进行实证分析。研究表明,台湾经济增长与两岸贸易及其进出口构成存在长期稳定的关系;两岸贸易明显促进了台湾经济增长;对大陆出口有力推动了台湾经济增长,自大陆进口则起抑制作用。
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| 关 键 词： | 两岸贸易 台湾地区 经济增长 协整 Granger因果检验方法 |
A Co-integration Analysis of the Relationship between Cross-strait Trade and Economic Growth of Taiwan |
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| CAI Hong-jie. A Co-integration Analysis of the Relationship between Cross-strait Trade and Economic Growth of Taiwan[J]. Journal of Northwest A&F University(Social Science Edition), 2010, 10(3): 46-50 |
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| Authors: | CAI Hong-jie |
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| Affiliation: | Sunshine College/a>;Fuzhou University/a>;Fuzhou 3500015/a>;China |
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| Abstract: | According to the economic data during 1988 to 2008,empirical analysis is made of the relationship between cross-strait trade and economic growth of Taiwan by employing the measurement of co-integration and granger causality tests.The research indicates that there exists a long-term stable relationship between Taiwan's economic growth and cross-strait trade and its constitution;cross-strait trade contributed significantly to Taiwan's economic growth;the export to Chinese mainland is a strong impetus to Taiwa... |
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| Keywords: | cross-strait trade Taiwan economic growth co-integration granger causality tests |
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