| 2008-2020年河南省高等教育发展规模、师资及经费预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 罗玲. 2008-2020年河南省高等教育发展规模、师资及经费预测[J]. 河南理工大学学报(社会科学版), 2011, 0(1): 105-109 |
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| 作者姓名： | 罗玲 |
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| 作者单位： | 河南理工大学 |
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| 基金项目： | 河南省政府决策研究招标课题(B063);全国教育科学“十一五”规划课题(FIB080601);河南理工大学高等教育校级重点课题 |
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| 摘 要： | 高等教育适龄人口的预测是科学制定高等教育发展规划的基础。根据河南省2000年人口普查数据,运用中国人口预测CPPS软件对河南省2008-2020年高等教育阶段适龄人口数量进行了预测,并在此基础上运用CCM法对河南省高等教育全口径规模进行了预测;构建了河南省高等教育的常规发展、快速发展和跨越发展三种模型;对三种发展模式下河南省普通高等教育的师资、经费需求进行了预测。最后提出了采用跨越发展模型的建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 高等教育 适龄人口 发展规模 预测 河南 |
Prediction on the Development Scale,Faculty and Outlay of Higher Education in Henan During 2008-2020 |
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| LUO Ling. Prediction on the Development Scale,Faculty and Outlay of Higher Education in Henan During 2008-2020[J]. Journal of Jiaozuo Institute of Technology(Social Sciences), 2011, 0(1): 105-109 |
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| Authors: | LUO Ling |
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| Affiliation: | LUO Ling (Henan Polytechnic University,Jiaozuo 454000,Henan,China) |
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| Abstract: | The prediction of school - aged population is the foundation for scientifically formulating the plan of higher education development.Firstly,based on the census data of Henan in 2000,the paper predicts the school - aged population of higher education in Henan during 2008 - 2020 with CPPS,then, it predicts the full aperture scale of higher education in Henan with CCM method;the author establishes three models for Henan's higher education,that is,normal development,rapid development and leaping development;Besides,the autlor predicts the need of faculty and outlay of the higher education under the three development modes.Finally,the author suggests that the leaping development model is appropriate for Henan's higher education. |
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| Keywords: | higher education school - aged population development scale prediction Henan |
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