| 60年来中国人口惯性变化及趋势 |
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| 引用本文： | 茅倬彦.60年来中国人口惯性变化及趋势[J].人口与经济,2010(6). |
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| 作者姓名： | 茅倬彦 |
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| 作者单位： | 国家人口和计划生育委员会科学技术研究所; |
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| 摘 要： | 本文使用国际上较为成熟的测量方法,系统地计算了60年来中国总人口惯性、城乡人口惯性和分年龄人口惯性的变化和趋势。得出重要结论:第一,中国人口正增长的人口惯性作用正在逐渐消失;第二,中国城镇处于人口正负惯性的转折点,而中国人口的惯性增长完全来自农村;第三,中国人口惯性增长将突出表现为老年组人口规模大幅度的增长。
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| 关 键 词： | 人口惯性 生育 死亡 |
The Change and Trend of Population Momentum in China since 60 Years |
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| MAO Zhuo-yan.The Change and Trend of Population Momentum in China since 60 Years[J].Population & Economics,2010(6). |
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| Authors: | MAO Zhuo-yan |
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| Institution: | MAO Zhuo-yan(Research Institute of Science and Technology,National Population and Family Planning Commission,Beijing 100082,China) |
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| Abstract: | This paper calculates total population momentum,urban and rural population momentum and age-specific population momentum in China since 60 years.The main findings and conclusions are as follows:Firstly,the power of population momentum of the positive growth is disappearing rapidly;Secondly,the cities are in the turning point of population momentum from positive to the negative growth while China's population growth was wholly attributable to momentum in the rural areas;Thirdly,China's population momentum of... |
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| Keywords: | population momentum fertility death |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 等数据库收录！ |
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