| 房地产开发投资风险的专家评价法 |
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| 引用本文： | 金加林,刘喜华. 房地产开发投资风险的专家评价法[J]. 南京农业大学学报(社会科学版), 2004, 4(2): 37-41 |
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| 作者姓名： | 金加林 刘喜华 |
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| 作者单位： | 天津大学,管理学院,天津,300072;中国平安保险(集团)股份有限公司,深圳,518029 |
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| 摘 要： | 房地产开发投资风险是任何房地产投资项目的一种客观存在 ,对房地产开发投资风险的评价是一个集体决策、定性分析与定量研究相结合的过程 ,基于专家逻辑判断的房地产投资风险的专家评价法 ,把对风险的量度用一个区间数表示 ,它不仅可以给出个别风险因素的风险概率和风险量 ,而且还可以对整个投资项目进行风险度量 ,该方法具有一定的合理性和可行性
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| 关 键 词： | 房地产 专家评价 风险量 风险概率 |
| 文章编号： | 1671-7465(2004)02-0037-05 |
| 修稿时间： | 2004-02-17 |
Expert assessment method for investment risks of real estate exploitation |
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| JIN Jia-lin,LIU Xi-hua. Expert assessment method for investment risks of real estate exploitation[J]. Journal of Nanjing Agricultural University(Social Science Edition), 2004, 4(2): 37-41 |
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| Authors: | JIN Jia-lin LIU Xi-hua |
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| Affiliation: | JIN Jia-lin 1,LIU Xi-hua 2 |
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| Abstract: | The investment risks of real estate exploitation externally existed. Aiming at a great variety of risky factors in the process of real estate exploitation, this paper advances an expert assessment method based on the experts' logical estimation for evaluating investment risks of real estate exploitation. Besides, this method represents the risk scale as interval numbers. It not only elicits the probability of individual risks, but also educe the risk scale. This method is to some extent rational and applicable. |
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| Keywords: | real estate expert assessment risk scale probability of risk |
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